The Left Fielder

The Left Fielder
Showing posts with label Packers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Packers. Show all posts

Thursday, January 22, 2015

January 22nd: Deflated Egos

Sunday featured one of the most exciting, engaging NFL games in recent memory. Waking up Monday morning, most expected to hear discussion on the Packers’ epic overtime loss to the Seahawks, expected to hear hours and hours of commentary about the defending champs doing everything it took to win, expected to hear a shower of praise for a defense that kept their team in the game, even when all looked lost.

Instead, news quickly shifted to Sunday’s OTHER game, one that everyone expected to get ugly and did, quickly. After a 45-7 drubbing of the Colts, the Patriots came under fire for an NFL investigation, questioning whether or not the footballs used by the Patriots offense met regulatory standards. After a few days of investigation, it was discovered that 11 of the 12 game balls were deflated to up to 2 Pounds per Square Inch (PSI) under regulation.

Now, it was easy for “haters” to immediately begin calling out the cheating Patriots, crying for anything and everything: a fine, a rematch, a forfeit. Most, though, had never heard enough about the PSI of a football to make an educated argument as to the context of it.

Here are some of the details that are important to keep in mind:

  • The standard PSI of a game-used NFL football are between 12.5 and 13.5 PSI. These balls are evaluated 2 hours before the start of the game, approved by the referees, and then given to the quarterbacks for use during warm-ups.
  • PSI can fluctuate during a game. Air pressure generally goes down in cold weather environments, which a game in New England one would expect to be very cold.
  • An under-inflated football is generally easier to throw, especially in cold or wet conditions, because it is easier to grip.
  • The PSI is not re-evaluated during the game. This means that, when they were under investigation by the league, the balls had not only been out in the cold, but the passage of time could have an impact on the PSI.
  • The Colts had 12 offensive balls of their own, and none of them violated the league’s regulations.

Overall, there are plenty of questions, many either too complicated or too long since passed to get a real understanding. The Patriots could have had balls at the low end of regulation, and thus dropped below protocol only after weather and time impact. The Colts could have preferred more inflated game balls, and thus remained above standards longer. The balls, through the investigative process, could have lost pressure from repeated evaluation, causing an inaccurate reading. From any angle, there are simply too many questions to lead to any real punishment.

In his statement to the media, Patriots Head Coach BIll Belichick gave a fairly detailed description of his involvement (which is next to none), and the information he has on the matter (also nearly none). He repeatedly answered questions by simply announcing that he had explained everything he knew. For all we can determine, he truly wasn’t involved in any form of tampering.

This is, of course, not the first time the Patriots have come under fire under cheating allegations. The 2007 accusations and ultimate fines for video recording Jets game and practice signal calling left an enormous shadow over the team that has had the most substantial claim at dynasty status over the past 15 years in football. Similar accusations arose on two other occasions, including for videotaping Rams practices in lead-up to Super Bowl XXXVI.

In any case, the Patriots would be well-suited to let their play on the field do their talking for them. Some argue that, with a score of 45-7, things were clearly way too far out of hand for the ball factors to have impacted the bottom line. That doesn’t really matter, though, as an unfair advantage would drastically change even the smallest details of a game. Even for a team that may not have broken the rules, too many allegations generally means that something fishy is happening.

As the Patriots prepare for their showdown with the Seahawks on February 1st in Arizona, there will be swirling accusations, questions, and doubts as to just what this team is made of. While these questions are valid, there is required a certain dose of curiosity, so that fans will ultimately come to an accurate understanding of not only WHAT happened, but how and why it impacted the game.

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

September 10th: NFL Week 2 Preview

After the excitement of last Sunday, the Zoot Perspective: Left Fielder takes a look at Week 2 in the NFL, predicting the winners of each game.

THURSDAY:

Steelers over Ravens in Baltimore

- The Ray Rice situation is nothing but a distraction for the Ravens, who will begin their season 0-2 after a disappointing loss to the arch-rival Steelers.


SUNDAY:
Dolphins over Bills in Buffalo

- Both teams won their first game. The Dolphins look to be the real deal, while the Bills may have just gotten lucky.

Panthers over Detroit in Carolina

- Detroit has an intense offense, but the Panthers’ defense can hold them, while Cam Newton will give the Panthers the spark they need on the other side of the ball.

Bengals over Falcons in Cincinnati

- Andy Dalton is playing for his new contract, while the Falcons defense proved they will have to win offensive shootouts if they hope to win this season.

Saints over Browns in Cleveland

- Brees won’t let this team start the season 0-2. Cleveland will look more like they did in last week’s first half than it’s second.

Patriots over Vikings in Minnesota

- Don’t worry, New England fans. The Patriots will right the ship this week against Minnesota. Although the loss last week may be a sign of things to come.

Cardinals over Giants in New York

- The Giants look to be starting another rough year. The Cardinals look to be a tough oponent, and are never really out of things.

Titans over Cowboys in Tennessee

- Jake Locker will pick up where he left off last year, and continue to beat up on a broken Cowboys defense. Romo can’t help them in shoot-outs this year.

Jaguars over Redskins in Washington

- This is the year RGIII has to either make it or flunk out of the NFL. My money is on flunking.

Seahawks over Chargers in San Diego

- Rough luck for the Chargers. Two tough NFC West opponents in the first two weeks. Can’t bet against Seattle, though.

Buccaneers over Rams in Tampa Bay

- I predicted the Buccs would have a good year. Maybe they’ll get the memo this week. Who is the Rams quarterback again?

Broncos over Chiefs in Denver

- The Broncos defense got better. The Chiefs defense got worse. The Broncos will roll to an easy win.

Packers over Jets in Green Bay

- The Packers are playing with a chip on their shoulder, and the Jets are playing lazy after an easy Oakland game the week before. Aaron Rodgers is no Derek Carr.

Texans over Raiders in Oakland

- I like the Texans to rebound, and there is no better way to start the winning than a winning streak against the Redskins and Raiders.

49ers over Bears in San Francisco

- You just can’t trust Jay Cutler. He makes betting on the Bears impossible. Although he is just good enough to surprise you every once in a while…

MONDAY

Colts over Eagles in Indianapolis

- The Colts almost came back to beat the Broncos. They are too good to go down again. And the Eagles proved they were vulnerable last week.

Wednesday, September 3, 2014

September 3rd: 2014 NFL Preview

Not that it ever left Sportscenter, but now, NOW is the time that it is appropriate to get the excitement started for the NFL to return.

One of the best parts about the NFL is that, any given Sunday, any team can beat any other. That makes it especially hard to see exactly how things will shape up as the year goes on. That being said, it’s up to someone to predict what will happen. The Zoot Perspective: Left Fielder is up to the task.

NFC North:
1. Packers: The Aaron Rogers bandwagon is already full. Everyone thinks he’s going to win the MVP. I think the Packers make the playoffs, but get ousted in the first round. It’s a strong team overall, but nothing to hang your Super Bowl on.
2. Bears: Another high-flying offense in the NFC North. More so than any other, though, the Bears will go as far as their defense can take them.
3. Lions: This team couldn’t get out of it’s own way last year. This year doesn’t look like it will be any different.
4. Vikings: Oh, poor Vikings. Adrian Peterson is already trying on other jerseys. It won’t take four weeks for this team to resume it’s irrelevance and see an era of Teddy start.

NFC East:
1. Eagles: I don’t love Nick Foles, but Chip Kelly will love having two of the most explosive backs in football. The rest of this division just isn’t strong enough to put up a fight.
2. Cowboys: The Cowboys get plenty of attention. They just can’t get any wins. I expect they will break their 8-8 season streak, going 9-7, but it won’t be good enough.
3. Giants: The Giants have been diving, and this year looks to be as bad as last. This will be a huge test for Eli, as we see if he’s a good enough leader to right the ship.
4. Redskins: It was easy to blame the issues on Mike Shanahan, but now is the time when fans will discover the Redskins’ issues didn’t end with his tenure.

NFC West:
1. Seahawks: The defending champs have the defense to dominate, the offense to keep them moving, and the attitude to stay relevant in this league. Too much fun to watch.
2. 49ers: The preseason didn’t bode well for the 49ers, but things have been too good for too long for them to let a wonky start derail them.
3. Cardinals: The Cardinals can’t seem to get out from behind the Seahawks and Niners. Once again they will make a statement, and once again they’ll finish just outside of the playoffs. This is a division winner in the East. Alas, not in the West.
4. Rams: Shaun Hill isn’t a NFL starting QB. Sorry, but it doesn’t matter how good this defense is, the won’t be stringing wins together.

NFC South:
1. Saints: One word: Drew Brees. As long as he’s doing his thing, this team is the cream of the Southern crop.
2. Buccaneers: The Buccs are my surprise pick of this year. With Lovie at the helm, this team will make a stand. Not necessarily a playoff run, but we will still be talking about them come December.
3. Falcons: Last year was a fluke. At least everyone thinks so. At the same time, going 4-12 should cause people to pause before betting on the Falcons this year.
4. Panthers: The Panthers were my favorite playoff team from last year. This year, though, everyone in the South got much better, and the Falcons just flat out didn’t.

AFC North:
1. Steelers: Two playoffs in a row without the Steelers was just strange. This year, I don’t think the team will allow it to stretch to three.
2. Bengals: I’ve always believed, at least a little bit, in Andy Dalton. Cincinnati has nothing to worry about, unless four straight early-round bounces is something to worry about...
3. Ravens: This is the team I don’t really know much about. All I know is that one Super Bowl does not make you a super-star, and I don’t have much faith in Flacco.
4. Browns: I’m taking bets for when ESPN starts calling for Manziel. Anyone want to take the 12 minute mark in the second quarter of the first game?

AFC East:
1. Patriots: You heard it here first, folks. I’m predicting this is the year when the Patriots fall from grace. There isn’t anyone to win the division, so they’ll limp into the playoffs, but their dominant streak is over.
2. Jets: If this team had a secondary, any at all, I would have them winning the division. As it is, they will make the Patriots very uncomfortable.
3. Dolphins:This team has a lot to prove, especially after last year’s success. Was it a fluke year, or a winning formula? I tend to believe the former.
4. Bills: If this team moves to Toronto, maybe someone will notice that there is a 32nd team in football.

AFC West:
1. Broncos: With Welker down, the Broncos might not go undefeated. That’s about as bad as it gets for Broncos fans. This team will bide it’s time until they can start turning up the heat in January.
2. Chargers: This team will be in contention, if only because of Phillip Rivers. They are a playoff threat, but once again don’t have the teeth for a long stay in January.
3. Chiefs: Andy Reid wasn’t a fluke. Neither was Alex Smith. But the rest of this team way over-performed last year, so it is not a safe bet to say they’ll do it again.
4. Raiders: Selecting Carr as the starting QB makes this team intriguing to watch, less so because of 2014 implications, but what it can mean down the road.

AFC South:
1. Colts: Perhaps the worst division in football, this team has the hot young stud of the game today, and is on the cusp of challenging for the AFC title.
2. Titans: Everyone forgot about what a good year Jake Locker was having last year before his injury. If he can step back in and perform, this team could be in good shape in a weak division.
3. Texans: Without a quarterback, this team is going to suck. It doesn’t matter how dominant Watt and Clowney are. If you can’t score, you can’t win.
4. Jaguars: The Jaguars will continue to come in last as long as they make bad decisions. Not starting Bortles is a bad decision.

Wildcard weekend:
Steelers over Chargers
Patriots over Bengals
49ers over Packers
Bears over Eagles

Divisional Round:
Broncos over Steelers
Colts over Patriots
Bears over Saints
Seahawks over 49ers

Championship Round:
Broncos over Colts
Seahawks over Bears

Super Bowl:
Broncos over Seahawks

A whole year of football, and we’ll be seeing a rematch of last year’s Super Bowl. The game will be much better this year, though, and the winner will switch spots, bringing the trophy to the Denver Broncos.

Let the games begin!